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KAMADIA – I was right about Trump’s Impeachment. Here’s why way too many experts were dead wrong

By Aly Kamadia, Editor-In-Chief of iDose

The decision to either impeach President Trump or not will likely be made on the day this is published (i.e. I’m writing these words on the evening before). 

If I had a penny for all the “experts” assuring us that Trump was some sort of Russian foreign agent, or that he would likely be impeached by the Republican controlled Senate, I’d have more money than your favorite billionaire. A few points:

  • I supported impeachment based on the idea that even though Trump would ultimately prevail, it was an important political precedent to set. Here’s what I wrote in an article published on October 2nd, 2019, that I still stand by: “Though even while the evidence (at the time of this writing) showed that Republican Senators had no interest in impeaching their Dear Leader, an indictment by the House of Representatives showed both Americans and the world that the rule of law actually had some teeth. It set a precedent to remind history and future presidents that they at least risked penalties for acting above the law.”

  • Why did so many experts predict that there was a good chance of Trump being ultimately found guilty? Why were they dead wrong? I’m not sure if their emotions got the best of them, but there were elementary flaws in all the arguments that I heard. As an example, far too many “experts” drew tiring analogies to President Nixon’s impeachment while COMPLETELY IGNORING the stark differences between the two cases. Apparently they didn’t realize that Trump was not Nixon and it was almost comedic to hear the analogies not take into account that it’s the year 2020, and we’re not living in the 1970’s (along with a million other observations their analysis lacked). 
  • But the vote for witnesses and Bolton was so close! 51-49!! So what? If Bolton testified, you’d have the ten millionth person confidently stating that Trump lied on serious matters. How would that negatively impact public opinion among Trump supporters? Even if it did, would it be significant enough for Senate Republicans to fear they might lose re-election, and thus find their Dear Leader guilty? No & No. Well… maybe not a flat out “no”. The chances would be as likely as you seeing Elvis or winning a million dollar lottery this week.   

Aly Kamadia is Editor-In-Chief of iDose. To read more articles by Kamadia, click hereTo read the Editor’s message, click here.

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