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iDose Newsletter: Polls show Trudeau with very slight advantage

By Aly Kamadia, Editor-In-Chief, iDose

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With five days remaining until election day in Canada, neither the Liberals nor the Conservatives are showing a decisive lead in the polls. That said, the current numbers look slightly better for Prime Minister Trudeau (as of September 14th, when this commentary is being written).

According to CBC’s Poll Tracker, “if an election were held today” (14th), the Liberals are projected to win 151 seats, with the Conservatives claiming 122. It should be highlighted that when the margin of error is taken into consideration, either Party could win. Put differently, the race remains a statistical tie. Moreover, the probability of a majority government being elected is 16% and 1% for the Liberals and Conservatives respectively. 

As a concluding remark, while this author believes that he is fortunate to live in a relatively free democracy such as Canada, anytime there is an election I am reminded of a quote that is attributed to Winston Churchill:

“The best argument against Democracy is a five-minute conversation with the average voter”.

I wish Churchill was wrong.

Stay safe,

Aly Kamadia
Editor-In-Chief, iDose
 
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